Rarely has anyone asked me a question that I felt more certain about while answering.
Several times in the first week of the month, someone asked me the same question, and each time I felt the confidence swell up like a warm balloon inside of me. How dare they even ask? The answer was so obvious that I all but openly scoffed at the questioner.
“Do you think we’ll get any snow?” a co-worker asked.
Pfft.
My eyes narrowed and the corners of my mouth rose into a slight, cynical grin. My back stiffened. I felt like a sage asked to impart wisdom upon the uneducated masses. I waited a moment, letting the pause settle to the ground between us, before answering in a tone as calm and placid as the surface of a lake on a windless day.
“No,” I said. “Or we might get snow, but there is no way – absolutely no way – we are getting anything like a foot of it.”
I cited the lower end of the forecast, which at the time was around 6 inches, and said I’d be happily surprised if we got that much.
That was all the wiggle room I left myself.
I could easily remember all the times forecasters predicted the possibility of calamity – whether hurricanes, floods or blizzards – that never materialized, and times when predictions of tiny weather events fell disastrously short of what happened, as with last month’s ice storm.
More than that, I remembered all the times I hoped for big snowstorms, only to be disappointed.
Those memories fueled my sense of certainty. Those forecasters. They weren’t going to get my hopes up this time.
Early in the week, the forecast shifted from day to day, and it further fueled my certainty.
The shifting more or less stopped by Thursday, but I was not deterred.
“Do you think we’ll get any snow?” a co-worker asked me on Friday.
My eyes rolled so far back in my head I could see my brain pan.
“No,” I said, trying not to sneer, “certainly not 10 to 16 inches.”
And I added that since the highs were going to be in the 40s in the days before any snow fell, the ground would be warm and it would melt pretty quickly. There was no sense wringing hands about it.
I intentionally avoided the grocery store. I would not be held hostage in long lines of hysterics loading up for Snowmageddon.
My lone concession to the forecast was to agree it would be prudent to send last Sunday’s paper to press earlier than usual Saturday evening, just in case.
I woke after midnight that night and looked outside to see a dusting of snow on the grass, and a steady amount of new snow falling. I retrieved my News-Topic from the front sidewalk, shaking the snow from it, and went back to bed.
Several hours later I woke and looked outside to see that something close to 6 inches had fallen and piled up in the trees, and it was still snowing steadily. I checked my phone’s weather app, and it said there was a 100 percent chance of snow until early afternoon.
It appeared that I might have been wrong.
As the morning went on and the snow grew deeper, I began to worry about the amount of food in the refrigerator.
Around noon, when there clearly was much more than a foot of snow on the back patio, I worried about the power going out.
When the snow finally stopped, I went outside with an 18-inch ruler and pushed it down into the snow on my car. It sank to the tip.
I was wrong. Man, oh man, was I wrong.
You may ask, did I learn a lesson about acting so haughty?
Based on experience, I can answer with nearly absolute certainty, and I will be succinct: No, I learned nothing. No way.
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